Capital Intelligence
18 weighted pillars, 116 indicators, scored 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis) — month-end history recomputed from observations that existed at the time.
54.8
ElevatedComposite macro stress index · +5.4 vs. 12 months ago
Macro core (P1–P8)
57.6
Elevated · Rates, credit, consumer, banking, corporate, inflation, global, market structure
Sector (P9–P12)
53.8
Elevated · Labor, housing & wealth transfer, reimbursement, sector capital markets
Month-end composite · trailing 24 months
Nov 2024 → Oct 2026 (month to date)
When systems disagree and capital is watching, the operator governs.
The dashboard reads the index live and may show a newer vintage than the committed read above. Where the two differ, the dashboard is the newer read and the hero score is the dated one.
Attribution required: SeniorCRE Macro Stress Index. Not investment, legal, or accounting advice. The dashboard is a convenience view of the same feed. The authoritative record is the downloadable CSV indicator table and the method page. Validation gate: not yet passed — 7 open blockers (feed coverage, staleness, point-in-time vintages, and walk-forward criteria that have not been executed).
Each indicator's raw print is mapped to a 0–100 stress score by its §2 normalisation map: percentile or z-logistic against a rolling 10-year window (inverted where lower values mean more stress), or a two-sided distance from an anchor. Non-print days carry forward. Index = Σ(pillar score × pillar weight) / Σ(weights) over all eighteen pillars. Macro-core is the same formula restricted to P1–P8 and re-normalised on those weights; Sector is the same restricted to P9–P16; P17 growth nowcast is carried in the headline index on its own basis.
Pillar score is the unweighted mean of the indicator scores that resolved; 115 of 116 indicators carry no score and are excluded from that mean, and 0 connected rows carry the last print forward. The newest history row, Oct 2026, is partial: computed through the 2026-10-03 source timestamp rather than its calendar month-end.
Full method, pillar weights, bands, and the 7 open validation criteria
Start at Assisted living & senior housing REITs — this page adds: Macro stress index for capital allocation and covenant timing.
The seat: portfolio risk, covenant evidence, NOI durability.
Side-by-side evaluation checklist for monitoring approaches.
Feature-level contrast with hedged, dated claims.